Above-Average Hurricane Season Predicted for 2022

The East Coast could see 6 to 10 hurricanes this year, with up to 6 of them being major, the NOAA predicted.

Henri, which was downgraded to a tropical storm, was moving toward Block Island, R.I., and southwestern Rhode Island on Sunday morning [August 2021] Credit NOAA
Alex Costello, Patch Staff
Posted Tue, May 24, 2022 at 12:17 pm ET

LONG ISLAND, NY — The Eastern Seaboard of the United States could see more hurricanes than normal this year, according to the latest predictions from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. NOAA says there is a 65 percent chance of an above-average hurricane season for 2022, and only a 10 percent chance of below-average storm activity.

The NOAA, part of the National Weather Service, is predicting 14-21 named storms during this hurricane season, which runs from June 1 through Nov. 30. Six to 10 of those storms could become hurricanes, and 3-6 could be major hurricanes, which are category 3 or higher.

“As we reflect on another potentially busy hurricane season, past storms — such as Superstorm Sandy, which devastated the New York metro area ten years ago — remind us that the impact of one storm can be felt for years,” said NOAA Administrator Rick Spinrad. “Since Sandy, NOAA’s forecasting accuracy has continued to improve, allowing us to better predict the impacts of major hurricanes to lives and livelihoods.”

According to NOAA, there are many factors playing into this year’s increased hurricane season. One is an ongoing La Niña — an opposite effect of El Niño — which weakens hurricanes in the Pacific Ocean but increases them in the Atlantic. There are also above-average sea surface temperatures in the Atlantic Ocean and Caribbean Sea, and stronger African Easterly Waves, which NOAA says seed the strongest and longest-lived hurricanes.

NOAA also released the list of names agreed upon by the World Meteorological Organization, which will be used to name Atlantic storms in 2022.

National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

NOAA stressed that its forecast is just for the number of potential storms this season, not for how many will make landfall.

Check Also

Possible new program at Union Chapel: The Media Lab for Good

What do you think? Please fill out the survey.